Saturday, March 19, 2005

Iraq: Simple Problems For Simple People

In support of the hypothesis that this blog is becoming an unofficial annex to Juan Cole's indispensable website, Doctor Biobrain adds this regarding Prof. Cole's comments on the gridlock causing two-thirds majority government requirement in Iraq:

Bush's men fucked up. Maybe it was because Team Bush places GOP loyalty ahead of competence, or maybe it's because they fear competence, or maybe they just misconstrue what competence is, or maybe competent people always give answers that Team Bush doesn't want to hear; I just don't know. But whatever it was, the Bush Administration hired incompetent people for one of the most important projects in modern history. And those incompetent people fucked up in Iraq, and they fucked up bigtime.

In this case, I'm referring to the gridlock caused by their dumb policy requiring a two-thirds majority coalition to form a government in Iraq. I'm sure they had good intentions; incompetent people usually do. Due to circumstances out of their control (created by prior incompetence), Bush's men were forced into creating a government that they didn't want to create. They were hoping that they could successfully control Iraq for many years before deciding it was time to leave things to the Iraqis. But their incompetence allowed the situation to spiral hopelessly away from that option, which was always premised in fantasy and delusion. So they pushed ahead with what they had and tried to make the best out of the bad situation they created.

But how did they go about doing that? Incompetently, of course. They had a problem in that the Shiites are an obvious majority in the country and vote as a block, and they do not like or want interference from the other two major blocks in the country; the Sunni and Kurds. This was a recipe for disaster, and we must give a word of thanks that the incompetents Team Bush selected were at least reality-based enough to perceive this. Unfortunately, their solution was no solution at all and was still premised in the fantasyland ideals they continue to hold. Simple people only see simple problems and can therefore only find simple solutions. It is the equivalent of a school child experienced only in basic math functions trying to solve a calculus problem. They see the addition and multiplication signs and ignore everything else. But in this case, the people involved are not even aware that there are any other signs, even after they have bungled things up beyond repair.

So their solution was to force the Shiites to share power by creating a majority threshold beyond what they could muster themselves. Perhaps the planners envisioned that the Shiites would perceive this difficulty and campaign outside of their base constituency; which would obviously misconstrue the severity of the divisions among the three power blocks. Hundreds of years of fighting and hatred could quickly be wiped out in a single penstroke by a well-meaning bureaucrat.

But more likely, they went with the straight-forward idea that the Shiites would be forced to compromise with the other competing blocks after the election. And anyone with a basic grasp of game theory would laugh at them for being so naive. They most likely believed that the Kurds, not wanting to lose out to on government power, would gladly join the Shiites in the new government, with a few concessions from both sides. They also believed that the Sunnis, also not wanting to lose out on government power, would vote in large enough numbers to offset the Kurdish advantage; so the Shiites could pick between the two coalitions as their partner. Unfortunately, the Sunni election boycott was successful and has now created a situation that many Sunni wanted, i.e. no Iraqi government. Their intent was probably that they wanted to prevent the Shiite-led government from having legitimacy with Sunnis, in which case they succeeded more than they imagined.

So now we're stuck with a situation where, from the Kurdish perspective, it makes no sense to fairly negotiate with the Shiites. There is no other coalition that is large enough to realistically compete with the Kurds in forming a government, making them the only game in town. The American planners designed a system that allowed the Kurds an absolute veto over the formation of the government. Even worse, once the government was created, the two-thirds majority requirement was largely unimportant, and not required for the Shiites to conduct business. So not only were the Kurds given an excessively strong hand in negotiating with the Shiites before government formation, they also lose almost all of their strength after the government is formed. So the Kurds were placed in a position that required them to demand everything before the formation, or risk not getting anything. And that is exactly what they are doing.

And another disincentive for the Kurds is that they don't actually want to be part of Iraq. They want to take the land they deem to be rightfully theirs, including the oil-rich Kirkuk area, and go their own way. They have their own army and government operations, and have little use for an Iraqi government. In fact, for many reasons, it is to their advantage that Iraq remains weak and insecure; as it makes it more likely that they can go their separate way unhindered. So they have little reason to form a government and will be punished severely if they do so. So the Kurds are doing what only makes sense from their perspective, which is to demand everything now and wait until the Shiites concede.

Even worse, as far as game theory is concerned, the Shiites were put in a desperate position by this system. They want the reins of government as quickly as possible. And they insist that they will deal with the Kurdish demands after the government is formed. But the reason for that is because they rightly don't want to negotiate with the Kurds from a position of weakness. So they want to delay negotiating on these issues until the Kurds are put in their weaker position, after the government forms.

And all this comes back to incompetence, and the inability of Bush's people to see past their own noses. They are incompetent and somewhat delusional, and none of the before mentioned problems occurred to them or they would never have instituted this lame-brained policy. Added to this is a likely bias against Muslims by the typical GOP loyalist Team Bush would hire. They perceive Muslims as being intellectually inferior and didn't see how this obviously flawed system might be gamed for partisan advantage.

Ironically, it's likely that the simple majority most parliaments require would have been preferable to what we now have. The solution to the only problem our Iraq planners perceived was likely worse than the problem they were attempting to solve. In other words, the obvious problem led to the less obvious but worse problem that we now face. Had they allowed the traditional parliament structure of a simple-majority coalition, the Kurds would be forced to negotiate with the Shiites and other smaller groups. Instead, the Kurds have been given the opportunity to permanently stall an Iraqi government from forming, forcing the Shiite majority to negotiate with a much smaller minority.

And all because a simplistic President chose simplistic loyalists to do a task that was beyond their abilities. I do not envy them, but I didn't think we should have gone to Iraq in the first place due to the unknown risks and unforeseeable problems. Once again, Bush's policies were far more complex than he was able to comprehend, and we are all paying the price because of it.

Friday, March 18, 2005

Damn! I Just Found a Better Quote

From the article that Juan Cole linked to:

The former Shell oil boss agrees. In Houston, he told Newsnight: "Many neo conservatives are people who have certain ideological beliefs about markets, about democracy, about this, that and the other. International oil companies, without exception, are very pragmatic commercial organizations. They don't have a theology."
BBC - Newsnight

This is straight-up true. We have this idea of corporate profit-mongers as evil men intent on taking over the world. Yet every indication shows them to be short-term, visionless people who are primarily interested in meeting the next quarter's expectations. They don't undertake long-term, risky ventures for the same reason that Vin Diesel and Eddie Murphy are more likely to get their films made rather than my three-part epic "Caligula Versus George Washington" (I'm still looking for backers for that, in case you're interested).

Except for corporate hucksters like Bernie Ebbers and Ken Lay who prefer wild-eyed speculation to hide their trickery, corporate leaders prefer stability and managed-growth. And the bigger the organization, the more stability and visionless they want to be. These are people who will purposefully increase quarterly expenses in order to shave off pennies from their earnings report to match Wall Street expectations; as Wall Street punishes companies who perform much better than they were expected to. As Juan Cole stated in his post, these people prefer to have as smooth a business cycle as possible; and risky strategies lead to unsmooth cycles.

The key to the corporate world these days is managing expectations, and stability is the key to that. They see the obvious risks in raping Iraqi's of their oil. They've got their established wells and their deep-sea exploration and their high oil prices and their full-capacity refineries, and they like it. It's the risk-taking morons like Wolfowitz, Perle, Cheney, and Bush who couldn't cut it in the business world who want to steal the oil for their own evil purposes.

And the irony is that, in the end, it's the corporate world's short-term strategies which have the long-term advantage over the neo-cons long-term plans. And with corporate oil fascists attempting to rein-in the politicians and Pentagon leaders, O'Henry couldn't have written it better.

Quote Of The Week

I'm not sure why I like this so much. Maybe it's just the extra-strong coffee talking. Whatever it was, the irrepressible Juan Cole has just earned Doctor Biobrain's first ever Quote Of The Week:

"The privatizers would set up private corporations to sell you creek water and oxygen if they could get away with it."
Juan Cole

It's not as well worded as it could have been, but it really clears through the crap that these fools spout off on the benefits of free enterprise, and really gets to the heart of the matter: money. I should say for all those who don't understand that, in this context, the term "privatizers" does not refer to Social Security, but rather of folks who want to turn various government-run activities (including oil production in socialized countries) into corporate-run activities. They claim that it's because private industry is always more efficient than government-run industry, which may be true in many cases, but is merely a red herring for their real cause: greed. They would certainly prefer an inefficiently-run corporation pumping oil, managing prisons, and running our schools over an efficiently-run government operation. All they're really looking for is another excuse for rich men to siphon off profits from our every activity.

Free enterprise definitely has it's advantages, but not if it means The People are being robbed.

Did I Mention That The Media Sucks?

Well it does. It sucks long and it sucks hard. It sucks during the day and it sucks at night. And what it is sucking is the lifeblood of our democracy: information. As a recent CNN screenshot saved by the immortal Liquid List reminds us, our media no longer cares about providing their viewers and readers with important information needed to guide their lives. Instead, they have replaced it with fluff and gossip and crap. And it is killing our democracy.

And what will the typical big media defender use as the excuse for this trend? The Dreaded Bottom Line. News is expensive, they argue, and so news orgs are just bowing to market pressures and giving the consumers what they want, which is better for ratings and cheaper in expenses. And upon hearing this, there is absolutely nothing wrong with smacking the defender in the face and screaming "THAT'S WHAT THE FUCKING PROBLEM IS, DIPSHIT!" The excuse they use to defend this horrible, democracy-killing practice is THE GOD DAMN THING THAT WE'RE COMPLAINING ABOUT! Even the beloved Jon Stewart spewed that crap earlier this week, and he should be thanking Jehovah that his guest was an old CBS media dude (click on Fenton interview) and not me, as I'm a big man and I might have accidentally destroyed TV's best talk-show host in an Incredible Hulk-like moment of rage.

Not to put too fine a point on it, the problem is that the news should NOT be subject to market pressures. It's ok for Hollywood and TV to use popularity to determine worthiness because its intent is to entertain, and the best judge to determine entertainment value is popularity. But the intent of news should be to inform, and democracy demands an informed electorate. This stuff is much too important to let the ratings determine what is newsworthy. That is what People Magazine and the National Enquirer were made for. Both are always more widely read than Newsweek or the New York Times, but that doesn't make their news more worthy. On the contrary, nobody turns to People or the Enquirer for real news, so why are we allowing our news orgs to follow THEIR lead? If news orgs use popularity to determine newsworthiness, then they are just not doing their jobs.

And even when they cover actual news stories, they consistently emphasize the gossipy and fighting aspects of each story, rather than the fact side of it. The "He Said/She Said" coverage isn't accidental or lazy, it sells more stories and is cheaper to produce than actual research. And the last thing they want is for themselves to settle a dispute between the two parties. Conflicting claims over WMD's, Social Security, and taxcuts can fuel cheap news stories for months; where as factually-based stories settling these disputes will quickly kill them. And again the problem is that their intentions are wrong. They are not trying to inform; they are trying to sell stories.

At the root of this is corporate-ownership (of course). I don't subscribe at all to the idea that corporations are inherently evil (though there are certainly a few). But our news cannot be held hostage to market pressures and corporate needs. This shit has got to stop. In the short-term, crapification of the news helps corporations and political hucksters. But in the long-term, this trend will be the ruin of America. I am confident of that. I might explain the theory in full on a later date, but for now you'll just have to trust me: democracy requires real information. And the destruction of our democracy is not good for corporations or political hucksters. They might be bringing about its demise, but neither will be needed after the democracy is dead.

Wednesday, March 16, 2005

To Kill or Not To Kill? Confusion Abounds

Huh. Kind of a mixed message today from the courts on whether I should murder my wife. Scott Peterson got the death penalty, which is a strong message against it. But then Robert Blake got off scott-free, even of the charges of soliciting someone else to do it. So now I don't know what to think.

Of course, Blake was a celebrity, which has its own system of justice. But then again, Peterson certainly got celebrity status too, though that was solely due to the trial itself. And while Robert Blake was hardly on the tips of everyones tongue when asked "who is your favorite celebrity", he was well-known enough to get a "oh yeah, that guy" when his credits are given. So maybe Blake's isn't the best legal precedent to follow for a non-celebrity such as myself.

Plus, when you average together the two results, it really comes out pretty hard on the don't-kill-your-wife side. I mean, if you add together a death sentence, plus living the rest of your life known best as the guy who got away with killing his wife, divided by two...well it doesn't come out ahead of where I'm already at in life. So I guess I'll just hold tight right now and see how the whole Phil Spector thing turns out. He's a celebrity, so his case doesn't exactly correlate with anything I do, but it wasn't his wife that he killed, so I think that evens it out. We'll see, we'll see. And if nothing else, if the Spector trial goes well enough, I might take CNN's lead and stop covering political news completely. Their political news has been relegated to gossip-mongering anyway, so it just makes sense to give up on any pretext of news and just go for the fun stuff.


(Editor's note: We are fairly certain that Doctor Biobrain was just joking and is not planning to murder his wife. We apologize for the confusion.)

MSM: Rape Me, Play Me, Just Don't Ignore Me

This post by the beloved Atrios got the good Doctor thinking, and this is what he thought:

It's so typical. Bush has a plan on Social Security. Everyone paying attention knows that he has a plan, and has a fairly good idea of what his plan is. Which is why the MSM does not attack Bush for not having a plan, while attacking Dems for not having one. If they thought he didn't have a plan, they'd have to attack him too.

But there's a catch: Bush is being "coy" (read: dishonest) and is pretending to not have a plan. So not only do they pretend that Bush doesn't have a plan, they get to attack Dems for saying what Bush's plan will do (cut benefits and create huge deficits). This is the same strategy he used before the Iraq war, when he insisted that he hadn't decided on whether to attack, and stated that whenever journalists asked him about his war plans. Rather than be forced to answer the question, he insisted that he didn't have a plan and essentially punished the reporter for asking a question which implied that he did have a plan...even though he did and everyone knew it.

And the purpose of all this "plan" talk is obvious. The reason you want your opponent to give a plan is so you have something concrete to attack. So Bush acts "coy" (dishonest) about not having a plan so his opponents can't attack him (and will even be attacked for attacking his plan); while also demanding that the Dems put forth a plan...so he can attack it. And that's the reason he says he doesn't have a plan; so he can just bullshit and make his plan sound like anything he wants it to sound like. And he can only do this because the media KNOWS that Bush has a plan but is being "coy" about it. And the journalist-class loves coy. In fact, they love the whole crooked nature of Bush's strategy on this, and they reward him for it with deceptive news coverage, while feigning ignorance about everything.

And, of course, to even add to the stupidness is the fact that Democrats do have a plan. It's called Social Security. But Bush's "coy" rhetoric is designed to deny them the ability to claim that plan, which many journalists are probably aware of, but they just chalk it up to clever Bush tactics, rather than the crap that it really is.

In the end, the main problem is that our journalists, as a whole, are lazy and bored and they really just don't give a shit. It's all a game to them. They have nice pampered lives (in which Social Security is a drag on their retirement plans), and this is what they do for excitement. Press conferences are all about tricking the President or Press Secretary into saying something stupid, and if they're not tricky enough, they won't get the answer...even though they already KNOW the god damn answer, which is the whole basis for the tricky questions they ask. They know that Scott McClellan is bullshitting them, but unless they can trip McClellan into admitting it, they're not allowed to write about what they know.

And that's the way journalists want it. It's no longer about delivering the facts. It's all about the game used to obtain those facts. Good rhetoric and spin beat facts because that's the system that journalists respect. And the Republican leadership has known this for years. Our media gets played like fools and that's the exact way that they want it. Any idiot can report a fact, but it takes high-up connections to be spun. And the higher up the spinner is, the more prestige to the spinee.

Jackasses Unite!

Responding to some fact checking by Inside Higher Ed regarding David Horowitz's abusive use of facts, Doctor B has this to say:

This is just another case of right-wingers using their general "thesis" of liberal bias as the overriding factor over proof or facts. They focus on a set outcome and then search for anything that backs it up, while ignoring anything that disputes it. They believe things because they want to believe them. And it doesn't occur to them that the process should work in reverse: getting the facts first and then arriving at the thesis based upon those facts. And any additional facts should be included into the thesis, rather than ignored.

But for them, any evidence to the contrary is considered to be just a fluke or in dispute or biased. If something confirms their beliefs, they immediately jump on it as proof of their thesis, and will shout to the high heavens that it proves their thesis. And any fact which needs to be assumed (liberal professor) to make the thesis work will be promptly assumed until firmly proven otherwise. But even then they instantly become the champions of "let's wait for ALL the facts" when those facts go against them. And then they promptly forget about the story, in search of more facts which back up their arguments. For them, facts are merely examples used to prove their arguments, rather than the basis of those arguments. And that's why it's perfectly ok to ignore "bad" facts, because they already believe their argument to be true and are simply looking for their proof. Something is true because they believe it to be true intuitively.

As for my opinion on Professor bias, it's all crap. The point of education is not to receive a confirmation of your point of view. The point is to learn different points of view. And if you don't know the material well enough to answer a professor's question the way that they want to hear the answer, then you're a schmuck who deserves the grade you receive. I've had many teachers who pushed points of view that I disagreed with, but I was able to get A's (I graduated Summa cum Laude). And I've also protested grades which, in hindsight, were well warranted; while I was acting like a jackass.

In this case, I firmly believe that if you can't explain someone else's point of view in a way that they agree with, then you are unable to disagree with them because you don't even know what they think. You can't honestly disagree with what you don't understand. And if you disagree with a professor, you can explain why you disagree...but only AFTER you've successfully explained their point of view and what it is that you're disagreeing with. Anything else is intellectual dishonesty. Had this student first successfully explained how Cohen's deviance theory (whatever that is) applies to the example given in the question, then there would be nothing wrong with explaining why it is incorrect. But instead, she chose to give an unrelated response and, having failed to fulfill the requirements of the question, received a poor grade. And that is exactly how education should work, regardless of the professor's personal biases.

Any intelligent person should be able to explain a point of view without needing to subscribe to it. I can fully explain supply-side economics, yet I think it's a fairly useless theory these days. And, yes, my supply-side-biased Republican economics teacher gave me an A, even though I completely disagreed with what he taught.

Again, college is not about confirming your POV; it's about understanding other POV's. And if you believe that too many professors are pimping different POV's from your own, then you're just getting a better college experience than everyone else. But that doesn't give you an excuse to hide within your own POV and expect the professor to respect it. That's just being a jackass.

Monday, March 14, 2005

Evolution: Why Sex Feels So Good

Upon reading this excellent refutation of the absurdist Intelligent Design theory by the venerable H. Allen Orr, Doctor Biobrain has this nugget to consider:

Evolution is a good example of supply and demand. And the law of supply and demand is as real as gravity. You just can't fuck with it. Just as evolution is only concerned with creating more of whatever works best, the stock market is only concerned with putting money where it will best be used. We might not agree with everything the market does, but we cannot dispute its power.

Looking back over the past fifty years, it is obvious which companies succeeded. In hindsight, it is obvious that Coca-Cola and Microsoft were good investments; as was IBM, GE, and Berkshire Hathaway. The obviousness of this might make some get the impression that the success of these firms was inevitable, and perhaps even planned. Coca-Cola is just like lots of other sodas, one might reason, so what could explain why their stock did so much better, unless someone planned for that to happen.

And yet nobody seriously considers such an idea. While there is certainly some level of "fixing" going on in the markets, it is unfathomable by any serious person to consider that the stock market could possibly have been designed to be this way in the long-term. In fact, our modern economic thinking dictates that it would not only be unlikely that the stock market would be designed, but that it would be inefficient and foolish to attempt to do so. According to our current theories, which I largely subscribe to, market pressures have a much greater ability to judge where money should flow than any command structure which dictates economic needs. In our own lives, the times when we don't want market forces to determine the course of our lives is when they create a direct conflict between what is best for the market and what we choose to have in our lives. I'm speaking of issues such as pornography, illegal drugs, healthcare, and starvation. In these and other issues, we choose to reject what the market prescribes solely due to its unseemly aspects. And yet despite taboos and laws against them, the market forces continue to flow like flood-water over a dam, allowing pornography, rampant drug-use and needless deaths to occur daily.

And the similarities between evolution and economic laws are not accidental; they are in fact the same pressures. In fact, economic law is simply an evolutionary stepping stone from the advent of man's modern mind. No longer relegated to hand-to-hand or weapon combat, we now have constructed more efficient means of acquiring our needs. It is obvious to even the most dense that mankind organized according to economically efficient functions will be far more efficient than animals or significantly less efficient men. Economics is essentially the harnessing of the basic laws governing all of nature.

And the irony is that any intelligent fiscal conservative will tell you this exact same thing. No, they won't couch it in terms of evolution, but they firmly believe that economics should be used to determine who will live or die. They believe that starvation and poverty cannot be cured, nor should they be; because they are part of the forces which dictate who will be a better breeders (that's a rough paraphrase, of course). Even lesser conservatives believe that market forces are smarter than man, and that it is not only unwise, but downright dangerous to mess with this stuff. And to some extent I agree with that point-of-view, though I have some serious disclaimers about it.

I've gotten to the point at which the rest of my argument should be self-evident. Which is great because I'm really kind of tired and I would like to go to bed. Before doing so, I should point out that I am not claiming that, because economics is real, that this somehow proves that evolution is real. Nor am I suggesting that my arguments prove Darwinism in any way. I am simply pointing out the connection between evolution and economics and the implications of that connection.

My argument can also be used to deflect Intelligent Design arguments, which I think was my original point but I'm tired and I might have strayed off-course. I was trying to argue that because our current stock market leaders look so obvious now, that one might wrongly conclude that this is proof of Intelligent Design in the markets. But that relies upon the same assumption that the ID'ers use against evolution, ie, because things look set in stone now, that this is the only outcome that we could have had and that the odds were low that evolution could be likely to be particularly effective at getting this exact set of events. Yet the results of decades of stock market activity are obviously not set in stone, nor is it particularly obvious beforehand which stocks will do better than others. And in fact, it is due to obvious market forces that we have obtained these results. It's not that market forces were the best way to get me to drink Coke; it's that Coke was the drink that the market found for me to drink. Similarly, it's not that evolution is best suited for our current situation, it's that it is the sole cause of it.

Anyway, I am now even more tired than I was when I wrote about my tiredness last time, so I'll be calling it quits. I know that if I save this post until tomorrow I'll never finish it. And if you don't understand what I'm talking about by now, then you're a complete douchebag and you'll never get it. Good night.

Sunday, March 13, 2005

Societal Amendments

Reflecting upon Publius' Legal Fiction post on judicial tinkering of the constitution, Doctor Biobrain poses this question to his readers:

If we went back and wrote constitutional amendments for all the crap that we've created since the creation of the constitution, would they pass? It's a sure bet that a majority of Americans support these things, but would that be enough to ensure their constitutional passage?

I'm talking about the FCC, SEC, SSA, or any other damn thing that the originalists say that we aren't supposed to have. You name it. And I'm talking about having separate amendments for each of these, as would be necessary (which you yourself can define how many would be necessary).

It seems to me unlikely that, had we put these amendments through the full process, that they would have passed. People just don't like change and the amendment process is very difficult. But I'm also fairly confident that these amendments would pass now, though there would be lots of pork and political payoffs added to it for no other reason than because politicos like pork and payoffs. But maybe not.

So, whammy think people?

Friday, March 04, 2005

Hiatus Continues

No, the Doctor has not fallen off of the face of the earth, despite all the hopefulness for just such an event from all our beloved emailers. It's tax season again and the good doc is just plain busy. But fear not, young bucks, the doctor will return shortly and full of spit and fire. You better believe it.

I'll just link to this for the fun of it. I challenge any and all readers to get busy mixing up a storm with this stuff. Best song wins a free "And Doctor Biobrain Is Who?" t-shirt. The only rule is that the song must use at least three quotes. Good luck and Godspeed.

Oh, and I just wanted to link to this for anyone interested. It's the unofficial Paul Krugman archive. Because those bastards at the Times just don't give a damn outside scrapping up a few pennies. The news should not be held hostage to free market forces.

Wednesday, February 16, 2005

Crap Attacks

In regards to Kevin Drum's racially insensitive remarks regarding Howard Dean's racially insensitive remarks, Biobrain opines:

Republicans are freaks. Pure and simple freaks. And they're so full of shit that it amazes liberals each time that they are able to squeeze a little more shit in there. They don't care about the racial sensitivity of black people. They just like to be able to get Dems on the defensive over the stupidest of reasons. Hell, many conservatives would actually be offended by these attacks on Dean if they took the attacks seriously.

And that's why we'd be fools to ever take this crap seriously. That means that we don't try to explain ourselves, we don't try to defend Dean, and we don't try to force a rational discussion of the issue. The Republicans don't want a rational discussion, though they'd be happy to indulge us by pretending to be in one...all the while they laugh at us and make us defend crap attacks. These people do not play fair and do not care about the truth. They just want to attack.

Our only recourse should be to laugh and mock these kinds of attacks. We need to turn this around and make them look as embarrassed as they should be over making such absurd attacks. I'm not saying we should do this over serious issues (though Repubs are perfectly happy mocking serious ones too), I'm just saying that we need to be able to understand which issues are real and which are fake. And the wrong response to a fake issue has often turned it into a real one. (Swift Boats, anyone?)

Wednesday, February 09, 2005

There She Blows! A Hump Like A Snowhill! It is our President!

Having read this interesting article about Bush's interesting debate humpback, Doctor Biobrain has this to say:

The article is interesting and you should read it. Not so much for the talk about the humpback, though it is interesting in itself, but rather about the way the media works and the need to "shop around" a story. I guess maybe I'm too influenced by movies like Superman, Mr. Deeds Goes to Town (the original) and it's loving tribute Hudsucker Proxy (all great movies), which show hardbitten editors demanding that their reporters dig deep to get the "big scoop" and never look back. But that's what I expect from my newspaper editors.

These days, the big scoops are only the ones that confirm scary stories which will lead to more newspapers being sold. And while the idea of a sitting President being unable to give answers on his own is scary, it's not the type of scary that will sell more newspapers in the future. In fact, it's the type of story that will lead to cancelled subscriptions and phony cries of liberal bias. And that's the worst part about the implications of this story, not just that it had to be shopped around and heavily pushed by a citizen, but how the reporters wanted to cover it but it got killed at the top. Rather than the frantic editor demanding the scoop, we have sissy editors scared of their own shadows, killing scoops that offend.

But even that wasn't why I'm writing. Here's the part that's got my panties in a bind:

Jeffrey Klein, a founding editor of Mother Jones magazine, told Mother Jones
(online edition, 10/30/04) he had called a number of contacts at leading
news organizations across the country, and was told that unless the Kerry
campaign raised the issue, they couldn't pursue it.


Now, I've never read Mother Jones and have no idea of who Jeffrey Klein is or what his credibility level is. But if what he says is true, this only confirms my worst suspicions about the media: that they believe there role is solely as dictation machines. They seem to believe that they can't cover a story suggesting that Bush cheated in the debate. For them, the only unbiased story would be a story about Kerry suggesting that Bush cheated in the debate. Rather than a headline of "Bush Wore Earpiece", it can only be "Kerry Blasts Bush for Earpiece". And that's insane.

But that's how it is with almost all media coverage. You can't say that Bush is lying. You can only say that Dems say Bush is lying. And that is insane. Facts are verifiable by definition, and therefore intrinsically unbiased. There should be nothing wrong with reporting facts about Social Security or WMD's or Bush's tax plans, or anything. And if Bush misstates any verifiable thing, then it is entirely within the realm of objectivism to report that. In fact, NOT reporting it is biased and subjective.

And this is entirely the reason why conservatives attack the media; to get them to be overly concerned with bias. And it serves a double-effect. The first is that the media won't objectively say that Bush's lies are lies, allowing him free reign to lie. But it also serves to paint Democrats negatively, by always writing stories about them "blasting" or "accusing" Bush and makes both sides look equally at fault. And if Dems want to avoid such headlines, then they aren't allowed to say anything about it and so the media will believe that they don't need to cover the story...which is exactly what happened here.

And that is the main reason for the myth of the liberal bias. And the media really believes it. And the only thing we can do to stop this is to confront newspapers and news sources for their absurd dictation model of news coverage and demand that they stop it.

Connecticut Yankee, Not Ignorant Cowboy

As an addendum to the good Doctor's last post, he adds this:

One implication of this is that we should never have been attacking Bush for being stupid, as that's his weakness which everyone knows about. I'm not suggesting that we should have ignored it. But his ignorance should always have been as a backdrop of ridicule against him, rather than the focus of anything. Everyone already knows that he's stupid, and rather than avoiding it, his handlers have always emphasized it to his advantage. That is the second part of the strengths and weaknesses post, of playing up your weaknesses and showing how they're good. But I won't get into that just yet.

Rather than emphasizing his all too obvious idiocy, we should have always been mocking his supposed resoluteness, boldness, and integrity. For example, the man doesn't have a single bone of ideological purity in his body and supports everything based on how the subject is framed. He may be stubborn, but it's not out of rational ideological bias, but rather is from his own egotistical sense of entitlement and inability to reason properly.

Ideologically speaking, the man is all over the map. Any real conservative knows that. Nation building, farm/steel/timber subsidies, open immigration laws, demand-side economics, those are not policies of a conservative. Yet liberals continue to harp on the man for being a brazen ultra-conservative cowboy, which might mean a lot in their hometown, but only endears him to many Americans who really should be against his anti-conservative, anti-populist, anti-American agenda. His policies consistently screw-over Joe Sixpack, yet we continue to alienate such people and push them into Bush's camp. Fuck the environment, we always needed to hit Bush where it hurt, by continually reminding people how unconservative he really is.

And we never should have called him a cowboy. He's not one. Trust me, I live in Texas and know what a cowboy is. Bush is just a poseur who bought an animal-less ranch for PR purposes. He pretends to clear brush in August for fun when real Texans only clear brush during the cooler months (both of them). He's the type of dude who Texans make fun of. A city-slicker. Yet rather than realize that the "cowboy" label was his marketers' idea, we immediately jump on it and try to make fun of him for being an ignorant cowboy. If anyone's the idiot here, it's us (and by "us" I mean you idiots who refer to him as a cowboy).

We always needed to attack him where he felt secure and get him on the defensive. We needed to deny him the ability to rely on his strengths, rather than repeating weaknesses that everyone knows about. That's how modern politics work and if we want to take back our country we'll have to learn the new rules.

Harry Reid: My Hero

Doctor Biobrain has much more to say on this subject, but in a relatively brief post regarding Harry Reid's criticism woes, the Doctor has this to say:

One of the primary lessons to be learned from Republicans is that you should always attack your political opponent's strengths and not waste time attacking their weaknesses. We traditionally base our strategies on real-world ideas, such as always attacking your enemy at their weakest point. But politics are not based on the real-world, but rather on perceptions. It's not necessary to destroy your enemy as you do on the battlefield. It is only necessary to give the appearance of destruction. And the best way to do that is to attack your enemy's strength, denying them the ability to use it, while forcing them to rely on their weaknesses.

And that's why you should generally assume that whatever the Republicans attack are the things that they fear most, and the place they try to lead you to is the place you should not be.

In this case, they are attacking Harry Reid for being "an obstructionist". And that should only mean that they don't want him to be an obstructionist and are trying to lead him down the path of sterile lamb. Just as they've done with most of Democrats. And fortunately for us, Reid is a streetfighter and he damn well knows this game too well. I was somewhat bitter when Daschle lost in November, but now I'm really glad they got him out of the way. He was always too coy and soft, and lacked the boldness to play the game by the conservative's rules. They fight dirty and while I don't necessarily want Reid to fight dirty, I at least want him to adopt a strategy attacking their dirty tricks rather than pretending that the Republicans are playing fair. The Republicans will do and say anything to get their way and it looks like Reid's going to address that.

I really don't have much more to say on this subject for the time, I just wanted to mention it now. This will eventually lead me into a much longer post on the subject of strengths and weaknesses and how we should use them.

The Adventures of Superman sans Boy Wonder

To expand upon a comment he made on the indelectable Digby's Hullabaloo site regarding Karl Rove's much discussed career move, Doctor Biobrain speculates thusly:

What is all this harrumph-harrumphing about Karl Rove getting a promotion, perhaps giving him title to the Presidential throne? What possible career change could be on order for Rove? He was originally brought on as a Svengali to help get an unsuccessful son of a President into the White House. And he's been given full access to the man ever since. There is probably no more influential man in Washington than Karl Rove. So, for a political junkie, where is there to go from there?

Down.

And that's exactly what this is: a demotion. In the political world appearances are absolutely everything. And if you fire someone, you are admitting a failure or defeat. And the higher up the firing, the worse the admitted failure. That is simply how the game is played. And there is no higher unelected person in this White House than Karl Rove, so firing him would be admitting to the worst of all failures.

So what can you do if you want to dismiss someone from your service without signaling defeat? You give them a different, important sounding job and call it a promotion (I learned that a long time ago from Winston Churchill, btw). This way, you get them out of your hair, without embarrassing yourself or them.

Why do I say that this is the case? Because Rove is a political junkie and there was no where else for him to go. The only "promotion" he could possibly have would be to give him even more control over Bush, Congress, and the Media; and that's not a job title kind of promotion. But more importantly, his new job sounds completely outside of his realm of expertise. He's a political junkie, expert at framing debates and using policy as a political weapon. Yet his job title says he'll be "coordinating policy". That sounds like an admin job, not a political job. It's fancy and important, but it hardly sounds like the work for a spinmeister extraordinaire like Rove.

And it also sounds like it's moving him away from Bush. Rove had one of those jobs that didn't necessarily sound important, yet you knew that it was. Similarly, many executive admins working directly under a CEO are often more important and influential than a VP. The VP might have a better seat at the weekly meeting, but the admin gets to decide who gets to see the CEO. And of course Rove was far more powerful than that. But now they've got him in charge of administrative functions. That doesn't make sense...unless it was a demotion and they're trying to get him away from the President.

Another question is: "why"? That's a bit more difficult. But I think it's because of the re-election. It was a squeaker and even Bush had to start having doubts as election day approached. But now he's like a condemned man who was pardoned while sitting on the electric chair and walking on top of the world. And while some people would repent their evil ways after such a close call, Bush saw this last election as a complete redemption of everything he did. They butter him up by telling him how bold he is, and now he's bold dammit. So bold that he's not going to listen to anyone.

Tied into that, he's not running for re-election anymore. So why should he worry about politics at all? Why should he listen to some fuddy-duddy political guru who thinks he's so damn smart? If he's so smart, why isn't he the President. And people keep suggesting that Rove is really running the show, so what better way to prove who's the boss than by foregoing Rove's advice and trusting his own political instincts instead. Or so Bush must be thinking.

And the issue that I think (via the eponymous Digby again) that Bush is using to test out his power is Social Security. This is a bold, bold President and everyone knows (political gurus most of all) that messing with Social Security is the "third rail" of politics. And he wants to create a bold, bold domestic policy for which he'll be remembered. If Ronald Reagan was the right's Franklin Roosevelt, then Bush wants to combine them together and make a right-winger who saved the world from tyranny and reformed our financial security for decades to come. And what better way than to deal directly with one of FDR's greatest accomplishments which even the venerable Ronald Reagan punted on. That is a bold sentiment indeed.

And in my belief, too bold for a political guru. I have no doubts that Rove would like to "fix" Social Security (much the same way they I fixed my cats). And I equally have no doubts that Rove initially tried to push on this agenda. But it is obvious that it will go nowhere. I once said that about us going to war in Iraq, but this is so much more obvious. The support is just not there, especially as the redder states talk a tough game, but they really do love their benefits.

So I believe that Rove wants out. He likes to take on a challenge, but this really is an issue that might cause Republicans to lose the Senate and/or House in the next election. That kind of thing is simply in the cards already and this issue is tailor-made to make that happen. And Rove's real bosses do not want that to happen, so he's got to be wanting to pull tail and run.

Long post short (too late), because junior's got an FDR complex and has clearly outgrown his britches, he has decided to push Rove into a fringe position. Rove isn't out. But he's lost much of his power.

I should add that, in order to understand this better, people really need to drop their juvenile attitude of how the White House works. Bush has handlers, not puppet-masters. They decide who gets to talk to him and how long they get to talk and on what subjects they can speak, but at the end of the day Bush really is the man to convince. I firmly believe that despite Rove and Cheney's influence, Bush really is the decision maker which would help explain many of the muddle-headed decisions from the White House. And this recent job change for Rove is yet another move by Bush to convince himself that the decisions really are his.

This entire post is the purest of speculation, of course, but I believe that Bush's re-election has made him believe that he is bulletproof and he wants to test it by flying solo. He has come to believe that he is Superman and Superman doesn't have a trusty sidekick. So Boy Wonder's been given a real job and Superman's about to discover kryptonite. We can only hope that he stretches this out long enough to bring us into the homestretch.

Monday, February 07, 2005

Who Needs Experts When You Have Pundits?

Doctor Biobrain would like to give a (relatively) brief response to an excellent analysis piece on North Korea's nuclear ambitions (via Monsignor Marshall):

Having read this piece, all I can say is "whew!". I didn't understand everything in that article and I'm glad. Nuclear science and the insides of foreign policy are a complicated subjects and if someone like me with absolutely no real knowledge can fully understand the subject by reading one article, then it just wasn't expert enough.

I particularly liked the second rebuttal by Richard L. Garwin. He could have just said, "Nope, it doesn't work like that". But he actually laid down numbers and some math to explain his point. I liked that. Maybe he's right, maybe he's wrong, I don't know. But what I do know is that he explained his rationale. Too often experts just give the basics of their opinion without giving the basis for that opinion. And if you have no idea who they are, you are completely at their mercy. And even more often, you get non-experts rattling out whatever talking point they've been assigned. So this is just a breath of fresh air to see that there really are adults out there who know of what they speak. I've started to believe that everyone is just making shit up as they go along.

I'm sure there are many complex articles written by experts out there, but they never seem to come into my field of vision, largely because they have so little to do with our day-to-day discourse. Experts confuse people and make them feel stupid. Pundits only make you feel smarter, even as they make you dumber. Which reminds me of someone.

Bi-Partisan Lies and Knee-Jerk Liberals

In response to the venerable Josh Marshall's post on the myth of Democrat support of Bush's '01 tax cut, Doctor Biobrain suggests:

We've got a problem. And that problem is that too many media types buy into the right-wing's rhetoric about Bush-hatred and anti-conservative bias. I'm not suggesting that they buy the whole thing, but they seem to believe that, at least on a certain level, it is true. So while they don't necessarily agree with every instance that the conservatives cite, they believe in it as a general truth.

And how does this apply in this case? Because media-types assume that there is an inherent anti-Bush bias on the part of Democrats, then it should be assumed that many Democrats will object to Bush's plan as a knee-jerk reaction, rather than as a well reasoned policy decision. And even that ties into the perception of liberals as "emotional" compared to the cold calculating conservatives. And for reasons beyond my comprehension, many liberals will happily adopt such meaningless stereotypes into their own mythology. E.g., the reason we want to help the poor is because we're softies, and the reason the conservatives want to screw the poor is because they're cold-blooded meanies. And they seem oblivious both to the logicalness of helping poor people and the emotional greed of screwing poor people.

And how does this apply in this case? Because media-types assume a certain emotional knee-jerk dislike of Bush's policy on the part of most Democrats, they essentially discount the opinion of those Democrats. If a Democrat opposes Bush's policy, it's not a policy dispute, it's a political attack. So basically, those Democrats don't count. And what that does is make it so any Democrat who does accept Bush's policy that much more important.

For example, as Josh pointed out of 211 Democrats in the House only 28 voted for Bush's 2001 tax cut, and of 50 Dems in the Senate only 12 voted for it. That's a combined total of 15.3% of Congressional Dems who voted for the tax cut. Yet, in Mr. Hiat's fevered imagination, 40 Democrats supporting a bill overrule the 221 who objected to it in terms of defining the party's attitude; so those 40 Dems apparently bound the entire party to those tax cuts and denies them the right to complain about it. Once upon a time, such a vote would only bound those who supported the cut, but now it bounds the entire party because that's the storyline the conservatives have fed to our pundit class. Hiat is also an idiot for suggesting at the end of his article that voters think they want privatization, but that's another issue. Maybe he's falling for the White House marketers theory that it's the label "privatization" that voters object to and not the idea of it.

And the problem is that Hiat and other media-types have bought into the conservative's storyline that some Dems are simply unreachable, so they don't count. So all the conservatives need to do is strip off a meager handful (such as 15.3%) of Dems to make things look bi-partisan. And even if you did confront guys like Hiat with the actual numbers, they might agree in the short-term, but still believe that on the whole their thesis is correct.

So what can we do? The best solution is to replace our current batch of media-types and bring in rational people who won't fall victim to the conservative's rhetoric. Short of that, we can just try to make sure that Congressional Dems always refuse to support any of Bush's policies. Not that this is a great solution as it the media-types will take it as more evidence of Democrat knee-jerk obstructionism, but there really isn't any other course of action. The conservative's storyline was very well constructed, with its inherent damned-if-you-do-damned-if-you-don't quality. So I guess we're just back to getting a new media.

Moral: Demand a new batch of journalisms and pundits, preferably ones who aren't such schmucks.

Oh. By the Way. Who Gives a Fuck?

In response to Professor DeLong's post on a little known liberal professor, the Doctor asks:

Who the hell is Ward Churchill and why in the hell should I give a shit what he said? I've been top student in many a professors class, and I don't even know what the hell they said, so why should I care about a no-name professor from a school I couldn't care about? Professor Delong seems to care enough to research the guy's statements and denounce them, but why...

And the answer is: because the conservatives are up to their old tricks again and trying to cast the image of the most extreme liberals (warning: idiot) as being representative of all liberals. As I've pointed out in an earlier post, this is just one of their tricks to fool Americans into thinking that they're conservative. They want people to reject and hate the liberal label so they will identify themselves as being more conservative.

And what do libs like DeLong do? They fall for the shit every fucking time. Geezus people, when will you learn? They want you to spend all your time denouncing liberal crackpots as it 1) means you're not denouncing conservative crackpots and 2) draws more attention to the liberal crackpots. If you really feel the need to address these issue, do as some responsible bloggers do and denounce the need to denounce. Conservatives are not playing by any real set of rules. They've got freaks like Ann Coulter (link for 18 or older, please) on the tube every day saying all kinds of mean and nasty stuff about us. Yet we have to apologize for and attack some nobody that nobody should care about??? That's insane. Hell, they've got loads of nutballs in Congress who should be apologizing for what they've said, yet we're denouncing one dude that no one's ever heard of?

Again, the only reason we're hearing about the professor now is because the right-wing media wants to showcase every liberal "nutcase". And they also want to pretend that their nutcases are ok and belong on television. They're essentially trying to mainstream right-wing nuts (warning: movie clip) while getting everyone and their brother to denounce left-wing nuts. And we play along every time. Wake up, people. You're intelligent, but you don't seem to know a god damn thing about human nature! These people do not play fair and they're using your own rational tendencies against you.

Moral: Every time they showcase yet another unknown liberal nutcase, rather than helping them with their dirrrty work, use the opportunity to discuss a well-known conservative nutcase.

Tuesday, February 01, 2005

Correction: You Cannot Date Britney Spears

As a clarification to his intelligence-impaired readers regarding his previous post, Doctor Biobrain explains:

I apologize for misguiding many of my less brain-affluent readers by suggesting that reading through my previous post would give them tips on how to date Britney Spears. It was, in fact, a joke. The joke being that by calling your date "Britney Spears" that she would somehow become Britney Spears. And the point being that conservatives seem to have fooled themselves into similar logic. They seem to believe that if they change the meaning of the words "conservative" and "liberal", and if they get more people to start adopting the "conservative" label, that they have successfully converted them to conservativism.

But they haven't. They can change the names, but they can't convince people to give up their good life. People like the rugged individualist rhetoric of the conservatives, but when push comes to shove, they gots to get their benefits on.

And that's what my point was. I sincerely regret any confusion over this matter and would never intend to dupe anyone into thinking that they should read my posts to get celebrity dating advice. That's for premium members only. The rest of you schlubs are on your own.

How To Date Britney Spears: Call Her Britney

Doctor Biobrain would like to add an addendum to his previous post about conservatives and Liberal America:

There is a piece of conventional wisdom that states that Bush deceptively ran as a moderate in 2000, but ran as conservative in 2004; thus, his 2000 victory was illegitimate (along with that other reason), but his 2004 victory was legitimate because he ran on his true agenda. And while even intelligent people push this wisdom, it is wrong nonetheless. Bush did not run as a conservative in 2000 or 2004. In both cases, he ran as a moderate-liberal and deceived America in the process.

As I stated in the previous post, conservatives have successfully altered what the terms "conservative" and "liberal" mean, and it is only by changing the definitions that they have been able to control our discourse. And the same is true in this case. And unfortunately, many on the left also push these definitions, so they can denounce Bush as a right-wing nutcase, just as they did with the previous popular Republican president. But this perception of Bush is just as wrong as the perception of Conservative America, as I will attempt to show.

It goes like this: Bush is a conservative. We all know it. Therefore, whatever he does must be part of a conservative agenda. During the 2004 campaign, Bush stood behind his actions during the previous term, and vowed to continue a similar agenda into the future. As such, people interpreted this as meaning that Bush supported a conservative agenda and ran as a conservative. But this belief is only correct if one assumes that Bush's first term agenda was run as a firm conservative.

The problem is that Bush is not a real conservative. Or, more accurately, Bush's first term agenda was not a conservative agenda. His domestic agenda pushed any idea necessary to get re-elected, including anti-free-market farm/steel/timber subsidies. And his foreign agenda was largely driven by neo-conservatives, who should not be confused with real conservatives. And beyond that, this agenda was pushed from a liberal perspective of using the federal government to make life better. And that is the antithesis of conservatives. (ed: while writing this post, we came upon this excellent piece (via Mr. Drum) which better explains many of Bush's motivations)

To understand this, we must understand what it actually means to be "conservative". As I said in the previous post, conservatives have lost the ideological war. And so, in its place, they have redefined the terms and gotten us to lose sight of what it means to be "conservative" or "liberal". And their strategy has worked so well that most liberals have no idea what a conservative is, or what they stand for. We now define "conservative" as meaning "Bush supporter", but that isn't what a conservative is. A conservative is someone who believes that the government should not interfere with the lives of citizens, beyond enforcing basic criminal laws protecting life and property. And for the federal government, these powers should be limited to those given in the constitution. And I respect that. I think it's totally wrong, but I respect that. (The inalienable Publius at Legal Fiction wrote more about this here)

But that's not what conservatives are today. Conservative leaders still have these ideas, but typical Joe Conservative does not. For them, being "conservative" means that you support Bush, and you're a tough individualist, and you're...well, you know all that crap. But it's just a bunch of turdball tribalism. The reason they support Bush's agenda isn't because they've had long held beliefs that these are the right policies. Just as they do with the bible, they come up with their preconceived idea first, and then scour their literature looking for the rationalization which justifies the belief.

Gay-haters don't hate gays because the bible tells them to. They hate gays, and they find justification in the bible. Anti-abortionists don't oppose abortion because their god tells them to, nor do they do so because they love everyone including unborn babies. They oppose abortion because they're damn puritans and want to keep everyone from having sex and the only way to do that is by making the punishment severe; but abortion and birth control remove part of the inherent punishment, so they're against it. Similarly, most conservatives don't support states rights because they think that's what the founding fathers wanted; they're for states rights because it justifies their beliefs on various issues. And they aren't far lower taxes because it helps the economy; they want lower taxes because they're cheap bastards who don't want to pay for the society that they want to live in. And the proof of what I'm saying is that their rationalizations stop once they get what they want. They ignore any part of the bible that they choose, and they ignore welfare kids, and they ignore states rights, and they gladly take tax funding just as soon as they can. And to call them hypocrites about this is just as absurd as thinking they're principled. They'd have to have the principals in the first place before they could sell them out.

And the worst part is that they don't even realize this. They think that they're being rational when all they're doing is rationalizing. And the moment you attempt to show that their supposed ideological beliefs don't extend past their preconceived notions, their rationalizing brains will flip a switch and you'll never be able to pin them down for what they actually are trying to say.

And all this is a round-about way of saying that Bush supporters are not necessarily conservative. They may think they're conservatives, but it really just comes down to supporting their team, and supporting Bush. And President Bush is the exact same way. He thinks he's principled because his preconceived notions are too ingrained to supplant. But we should make an earnest effort to separate the two and realize that many of Bush's agenda ideas are not at all conservative. And that even the conservative ones are being pimped for solely partisan reasons.

And all this is a round-about way of saying that when Bush ran on his first-term agenda during the election, he was not running on a conservative agenda. He has never run as a conservative and he never will. He ran on the Bush Agenda, which has the rhetorical toughness of a conservative, yet the soft underpinnings of liberals; because that's what polls well. People like to think that they're tough, but they like to be coddled. And part of the reason Bush ran on his first-term agenda is because, as I mentioned in an earlier post, admitting fault serves only to give your opponents a weapon to club you with. So when Bush ran on his first-term agenda, it was as a deceiving huckster, not a right-wing nutcase. And when people voted for Bush, they were not showing their support for the conservative agenda; they were showing their support for Bush. And the reason for that is, as I said earlier, America is not a conservative country. They may like the idea of being conservative, but they like the liberal ideas better.

Moral: Despite perceptions to the contrary, America is not a conservative country. We are a country of liberals, many of whom were unfortunately tricked into believing they are conservative. But this trickery only applies to perceptions and the more the conservatives attempt to truly push their agenda, the more they'll realize that the name change didn't fix anything. You can call your prom date Britney Spears, but she's still just your mom.

Sunday, January 30, 2005

Putting the Bull Back Into Bullshit

In response to The Bull Moose’s comments on what Dems need to do to “fight back”, the Doctor drunkenly growls:

What in the hell crap was Mr. Bull Moose smoking, and how do we ensure that our kids don’t get their grubby little hands on the stuff? Not only does this Moose character foolishly state that America is a “fairly conservative country”, but he honestly seems to believe that the perception of the “liberal elite” and “activist judges” will make people shift their ideology. What a crock of shit.

The reality is that conservatives have lost the ideological war, and it wasn’t even close. America likes Social Security, and they like the FDA, and they like Medicare, and they like the FCC, and EPA, and all those other programs. They may bitch about these programs, but Americans have fully incorporated the idea that the government will solve our problems for us. Not all our problems, only the ones that it is capable of solving; for what is the government but a coalition of Americans striving to solve the problems which we as individuals cannot or will not solve ourselves. And that is the essence of society and the culmination of mankind’s power.

And so that’s why conservatives don’t even try anymore. During the campaign, Bush did not and could not claim that he wants to overturn Social Security or Medicare. He could not announce intentions to overturn the EPA. He never said that he’d overturn any liberal policy. That would be political suicide, and everyone knows it. But isn’t that the proof that America isn’t conservative? The reason Bush was re-elected was because he had to pretend to support a liberalish agenda. For example, he wants to get rid of Social Security, but he can’t say that. Instead, he has to market his agenda as a way of saving Social Security. Why would he have to say he was saving the program, unless he thought it was what people wanted to hear?

This hardly sounds like a conservative country. The reality is that the only reason the Republicans were able to take over our government is because they pretended to not be conservative. The biggest two items from Bush’s last term were both sold from a liberal perspective. Tax cuts were sold using the Keynesian idea that higher spending will increase demand and help the economy. The war in Iraq was a war of liberation, and the national security argument often included Clinton’s words. Additionally, No Child Left Behind pushed many liberal items that conservatives hated. Blue Skies was sold as a better way of decreasing pollution. I could go on and on. Hell, even the Faith-Based Initiatives were sold as a way of using government resources to help people do what they and their non-funded church couldn’t do alone. And that sounds like a liberal idea to me.

The greatest damage that the Bush admin caused wasn’t by pushing a conservative agenda, but rather from hiring conservatives to run the liberal government. And they could only do so because nobody pays enough attention to these details.

But it wasn’t enough to borrow the liberal agenda; they had to strip it from the liberals. So they started to demonize liberals by focusing on the egregious far-left liberals and pretending that they represented “typical” liberals. They pretend that Michael Moore and Sean Penn represent all liberals and that anyone who identifies themselves as "liberal" is represented by the far-lefties. They also started to identify anyone who wasn’t a rabid conservative as being a moderate conservative, moderate Conservatives as leaning Lib (George Will is seen by many now as being a moderate), and so forth. Unable to attack popular liberal initiatives, conservatives were forced to attack the liberals themselves.

All the Republicans have done is to shift the definitions of what it means to be a “liberal” or “conservative”. But realigning the political labels will do nothing to actually push a conservative agenda. You can convince someone that they should call themselves “conservative”, but that doesn’t mean they’ll support conservative ideology. They may support Bush, but they don’t want to give up their Social Security or other government programs. And the Bush PR Department knows this better than anyone.

What success means for conservatives is entirely dependent on what they intend to achieve. If they are simply trying to gain office and tinker with a few policies while stopping liberals from making more policies, they have already succeeded and will continue to do so. But the idea that these superficial adaptations can do anything to actually convert America into rabid conservatives is insane. It cannot work. Especially as conservatives can only win office by pretending to support liberal ideas. And with this push to kill Social Security, it looks like Bush is going to be learning this lesson soon.

Moral: The only way conservatives can gain power is by attacking liberals, but not by attacking liberal ideas. And that makes it impossible for them to actually enforce a conservative agenda. The more they undo liberal policies, the less protection they’ll have against the Americans they’ve been fooling.

Thursday, January 20, 2005

Prescription: Fuk Em All!

What a trip! In response to a short response from blogger Eric on BBrain's very own post, regarding the tendency of liberals to explain everything, the Doctor was most certainly in:

I'm not a lawyer, but I always feel the need to defend myself, explain myself, and set the record straight about everything. Not only that, but I always feel that when I write anything, I have to respond to rebuttals that haven't even been made yet. And I feel that if I can't explain/defend myself adequately that I must not understand the issue well enough. I think that's what makes us liberal; that we're willing to understand ourselves and others, while wishing for them to understand us. That's just natural to any thinking person. But that is a tendency that we must fight against when dealing with right-wingers.

That's how the Republicans keep beating us. They're leading us by the nose by taunting us with crazy stuff and keep us second-guessing ourselves and running on with one endless explanation after another. And I find their non-reponses to be maddening and idiotic. I'll make a valid point against Bush, and they respond with idiotic mockery. I hate that, and am loathe to use such tactics. But it's utterly necessary.

We want to explain ourselves and they don't give a shit. We go for nuance, and they mock nuance. I'm not at all suggesting that we always keep to such immature tactics, especially as we debate amongst ourselves. But some things never need to be explained or defended against, even amongst ourselves. Lefties, righties, moderates, and the apathetic in-between know that liberals aren't racist. Even Bush knows it, and he's an idiot. It's such bullshit that every second we waste on it is another second that they laugh at us. Bush wasn't accusing us of anything, he was distracting America and mocking us. We call him a dummy, but he seems to understand how to manipulate us better than we know how to stop it.

Again, I understand the need to explain everything (as evidenced by this long post), but it's something that we should firmly fight against. If Rumsfeld can dismiss rampant looting with mockery, we should at least learn to use it when they throw fake attacks at us.

Moral: If it sounds like a big crap attack, it probably is and crap should always be avoided.

Sexing Up The Pig

And in response to Senior Blogger Josh Marshall's post on growing Republican opposition to Social Security Privatization (oops, I mean "Personal Savings Accounts"), Dr. BBrain has these words of enlightenment:

It's obvious that we've already won the war on Privatization. In fact, it's such a sweeping victory that Republicans had to completely scrap the word, and now pretend that it was a slur invented by liberals and journalists to attack Bush. But unfortunately for America, our current White House is run by a bunch of marketers who think they can hornswaggle anything through, by hook or by crook; so they're back at it again.

In this case, they've decided to simply change the name of their plan from "Privatization" to "Personal Savings Accounts", and hope that nobody realizes that they're the same damn thing. And while this marketing-based strategy of finding the right names for the wrong plans often works, I think they've screwed up this time.

The problem for them is that they think that it's the word "Privatization" that people detest. Their pollsters tell them that this is so. But maybe the word "Privatization" isn't so bad by itself. Maybe it was that people disliked the idea of changing Social Security into private accounts, and that it was this dislike that made people hate the word. I know, I know, that's crazy talk to a marketing person, but I think that it's the case. And while the term "Personal Savings Accounts" polls better right now, I think people will begin to hate it as much as they hated it when it was called Privatization. Even worse, people will realize that Bush is trying to dupe them with a name change, and they'll resent it (god knows it's due). And that's what's got many Republican leaders stampeding towards the door.

Moral: You can put lipstick on a pig and call her Sheila, but she's still your damn wife.
(joking!)

Laughter: The Best Rebuttal

In response to guest blogger Eric's post at "Legal Fiction" on Iraq democratization, which included a rebuttal of the right-wing's charges of liberal racism, our fine host says:

To comment on a small part of a big post, I don't think we should take the right-wing accusations of us being "racist" in this "brown-skin democracy" issue seriously at all. I want to call it a red herring, but that's not the right term. A red herring is something that distracts from the real issue. But, in this case, they're not necessarily distracting from the problems of democratizing Iraq; they're shifting the issue into an attack on us, and pretending Bush has the moral high ground. And how do we typically respond? By wasting time rebutting the charges.

But that's exactly what they want. Bush knows that racism isn't the cause of our disagreement with him. If anything, he might believe that it's because we hate him and want to see him fuck up, but not because we're racist. Anyone with a brain knows that bringing democracy to Iraq and the middle-east will be very difficult; and in Bush's case, his handlers finally got around to telling him. Bush doesn't really believe this garbage, he's just trying to get us on the defensive. And it works every time.

The secret is to stay alert and understand when an issue has conversion power or not. By "conversion power", I mean the ability to convert a moderate or uninterested party to a particular point of view. Right-wingers can rant about it all they want, but nobody will be converted to their side because they think that liberals are anti-Muslim racists. And the worst thing we can do is take absurd charges seriously; thus giving them at least a small level of credibility. If someone calls you a "momma's boy", the worst thing you can do is act upset about it and try to deny it.

Another case in point is the Swift Boat issue that helped sink Kerry. The charges against him were crap. Anyone who knew the details knew they were crap. And even if we didn't, Kerry's accusers were complete unknowns who did not deserve the credibility. Credibility is something that's supposed to be earned over time, not handed out like fliers to anyone who wants it. And our biggest mistake was in not fully and completely laughing it off. As it was, we ignored it at first, and then tried to rationally rebut it later. But it was too late, and doubts set in for many moderates and uninterested people. They didn't necessarily believe the accusations, but they thought it made Kerry look untrustworthy. What we should have done is had Kerry aides and Kerry's old war buddies on the talk shows laughing at the Swift Boaters and making jokes about their claims. By ignoring the charges or taking them seriously, we allowed them to fester. Laughter would have put them back where they deserved; in their local VFW, wallowing in their beer about the liberal traitor in the White House.

I should also add that even legitimate charges can often be dealt with by laughing them off. Republicans do this all the time. We now know that Iraq was severely damaged by the post-war looting, which was preventable. The Iraqis were already wary of our intentions, and the rampant looting made good intentions look bad and greatly undermined our authority. Allowing the looting looked bad, both in hindsight and foresight. But how did the Bush Admin deal with it: mockery. Journalists and commentators laughed with Secretary Rumsfeld when he expressed disbelief that Iraq could have so many vases. Even now, many right-wingers refuse to even contemplate that looting was a problem. They addressed a very legitimate, very serious concern by mocking it. Yet, we seriously defend against ludicrous charges of racism.

The moral: We shouldn't waste breath and bandwidth defending charges that are clearly absurd. And the "liberal racist" thing is so bad that it seriously deserves the laughter. They do the same thing on Affirmative Action and welfare programs, and it's as laughable then too. The right-wing's motto seems to be "Don't be attacked for something you can attack the other side for." And our reaction should be mockery of the hypocrites, not reasoned rebuttals.

Honesty: Never the Best Policy

In response to Tim Dunlop's "The Road to Surfdom" post about Richard Armitage's recent outbreak of honesty, the good doctor says:

One problem is that, because it's so rare that any Bush official speaks honestly, when they finally do we all jump up and down and say "see, see, even So-And-So says it". And then the right-wing bash machine has to kick into overdrive to show what a hate-filled freak Mr. So-And-So is. Thus, discouraging any of the others from talking. Paul O'Neill was bashed pretty hard. Joe Wilson is probably not on the inauguration invite list this year. Richard Clarke was scorned for a weird family life which they never really elaborated on. Maybe the attacks would have happened anyway, or maybe it's because we started attacking Bush so savagely with their words and Bush had no other recourse than to attack the messenger.

Even worse is when an active Bush official (or Bush himself) says something honest. Every little slip-up of honesty is hoisted into the air like it's our enemies severed head. We all demand honesty from the Bush Admin, but every tiny peep of it is used against them. Why in the hell should they be honest when it just hurts them every time? One of the Bush Admin's biggest political blunders was ever admitting that those "16 words" shouldn't have been in the SOTU speech. They really let the genie out of the bottle on that one. I wouldn't doubt if they regret doing that more than they regret the whole Iraq thing.

And I don't know what the answer is. It's their own doing by making honesty so rare. But it seems a touch hypocritical when we attack Bush for not admitting to mistakes...and then attack him in the rare times when he admits to even the most minor of mistakes. And the right is guilty of the same thing, lest we forget the Clinton presidency. I should add that it's the media that is a big cause of this. We talk about Bush's blunders and dishonesty all the time; it's fun and lets off steam. But the only chance that journalists get to do that is when they can quote a Bush official saying it. So when they finally get the juicy quote, they run with it as hard as they can. It must be frustrating to be strait-jacketed by such inane, self-imposed rules.

Moral: People need to realize that the reason we demand honesty from our political opponents is simply so we can attack them with it. Not that we shouldn't still demand honesty. We just shouldn't be so High & Mighty about it when we attack our enemies for not giving us the weapons we need to beat them. We're all monkeys. Damn dirty monkeys.

Monday, January 17, 2005

Cyborgs? Can't Take No Damn Cyborgs!

Ok, I bet you're wondering what pulled me out of retirement. Foolish mortal, what else could it be but cyborgs. Turns out that Rebekka MacKinnon of the Harvard - Ethics Are For The Other Guy Conference is a card carrying member of the Cyborg Alliance of America (metaphorically speaking, to say the least). An top of that, word on the street says that she eats and enjoys to eat kittens of all stripes, including the cute ones (especially the cute ones). (Other sources say that the so-called "kittens" are actually small dogs, but that's not a judgement call for me to make)

Now, I don't have personal knowledge about this (I haven't seen the video that everyone's abuzz about), but I just want to say that, if Ms. MacKinnon wants to eat kittens or small dogs in her spare time, that's a perfectly legitimate pasttime for her to engage in. I'd rather she and her cyborg ilk eat kittens than my baby daughter (as is her wont), I just think she needs to engage in full disclosure on this one. I mean, if she doesn't have a problem with the wholesale slaughter of an entire race of species, then I don't have a problem, just as long as me and mine don't get hurt. I just think she needs to tell everyone about it.

I should add that I in no way endorse the story that Ms. MacKinnon does such an abhorrant deed on a regular basis. In fact, I hope to god that she can stop herself from doing these horrible horrible things. I just thought that I should bring it to my adoring public's public attention. This is an important story and it behooves us all to report it as quickly and often as possible, and let the "historians" sort out the fact from fiction afterwards.

So, how about, Ms. MacKinnon? Are you going to tell the world about your penchant for eating kittens and/or small dogs, or are you going to maintain your silence? The cover-up is always worse than the crime, Ms. MacKinnon, and you're only hurting yourself with your depraved silence.

Tuesday, July 06, 2004

Bush Isn't the Problem. It's the Media.

I honestly believe that the biggest trouble liberals have is that we've been blaming Bush this whole time instead of putting the blame where it really belongs: The Media.

The Bush Administration has just been doing what ALL presidential administrations want to do. Did Clinton want unintended leaks or did he want things confidential, on-message, with only controlled leaks? Did Clinton want to push his left-wing agenda on America, or did he want to be constantly battling to stay relevant? What President WOULDN'T have done much of what Bush did? I'm not talking about the specific agenda, but the overall coup of doing what you wanted?

And that's the point, Bush did what they all would have done. So why weren't we attacking the enablers instead? The media went along with this crap and the whole time most liberals kept saying "Impeach Chimp" or "Cheney is a crook". The message should have been: The Media has sold us out to their own celebrity.

That's how the conservatives did it. They got the media so worried about a liberal bias that their lack of real coverage gave us a conservative bias. And the Washington conservative elite convinced the media that they should be more like the conservatives than like those rowdy protestors. And they became convinced that any item which did not make Bush look good was "unfair" and made a point of limiting our intimacy with such items. Pointing out the Bush Family connections with the Bin Laden family was in poor taste. Showing Bush in unscripted moments acting like a doof when he should be serious was saved for The Daily Show. And showing him yachting conflicted with the "real" Bush we constantly see clearing brush in sweltering Crawford.

And now this movie comes out which destroys the case for Bush that they've been making since before the 2000 election. They painted Bush either as a competent "everyman" or as a nice guy boob that was surrounded by competent advisors who would do what was best for America; and America bought it. And that's why the media hates the movie so much. They complain about the facts, but what they really hate is that Moore showed us what they thought was off-script and therefore unfair. They act like a book author who sees their characters altered in the film adaptation. But in this case, it was the author who forgot to flesh out the character accurately.

Hell, many liberals have complained that the movie wasn't STRONG enough. But that just backs up my point. This relatively mild indictment of Bush is nothing new, yet it is clearly impacting millions of people. There is no reason the media hasn't been telling us this stuff. No reason except they've been duped into believing that these facts are somehow wrong to mention. And instead of us blaming the messanger who wouldn't deliver the message, liberals have been blaming the guy that took advantage of it.

But it's not Bush's fault, he was just being human. It was the media's fault for not doing their job.

Monday, July 05, 2004

On Fahrenheit 9/11

What I'd like to see discussed is why most movie reviewers liked the movie and said it was powerful and moving, while most political pundits on both sides say it was boring or mediocre. I kind of have an idea about which of those two groups knows more about film-making and the quality of the film, and I'm fairly sure it's not the political guys. Did "knowing" that the facts were fake or deceptive make it less powerful?

And I think it's obvious that the pundits, especially the liberal ones, wanted to disassociate themselves from Mr. Moore before they even saw the movie. It was a scripted spin-point to say that Moore was biased and didn't represent them. And the only issue was just how far they'd go to disassociate themselves from Moore. Paul Krugman mentioned this in a recent column, and I note that Krugman is one of the few pundits without a journalistic background, which is probably why he's often the only one not reading from the script.

Now, I haven't seen the movie, but I've read a partial transcript, and I can say that those disassociating themselves from the movie are being foolish. It is obvious that Moore makes a point to only bring up claims that are factually correct and purposefully avoids making conclusions on what those facts mean. But it's the facts that he brings up that pundits find unfair.

It's considered unfair and cheap to point out the fact of the Bin Laden Family/Bush Family connection. It's considered unfair to show Bush being doofy shortly before announcing that he was sending people off to kill, die, wound, and be wounded. And it's considered unfair to show Bush doing what he was doing a month before 9/11.

People attack specific numbers that he gives or insist (without evidence) that Bush must have been working more during that time, but they can't argue against the overall truthfulness of those claims. They chip away at the minor issues, and pretend that this destroys the bigger ones; but they do not. And it's the overall idea of all this that most pundits find most appalling, due to it's "unfair" nature.

But what in the hell does fairness have to do with anything? These are facts and Moore does not say that Bush is scum for doing these things. He is only bringing up facts and letting us be the judge of what it means. And if we the people judge that Bush is scum for doing that, isn't that our right? Who is the media to decide which facts are "fair" or "unfair" to mention? And isn't that the real reason that the pundits dislike the movie? They say it's boring and deceptive, but their true complaint is that Moore is doing what they see is their god given right, and doing it in a way they think is "unfair".

But I say enough of that. Fox News has given one contribution to journalism which should not be ignored: it is the reporter's job to report the facts, and let us decide what they mean. Fox doesn't actually do that, and now the pundits are attacking Moore for doing so. Well I say, enough with the pundits and gatekeepers. We need to take our media back. Their job should be to check the facts and report what they find, and let us do the rest.

Friday, July 02, 2004

Oh, and I Do Tax Questions Too

I should add that I am also a licensed CPA in the great state of Texas, and would be perfectly happy to assist people either with the theories behind tax and accounting laws, or the practical demands of your personal life. If you'd like to know what items are deductible, why some items are deductible, or why we have to pay taxes, feel free to ask and I'll do my best to answer your questions. I enjoy accounting and find that I only learn more by answering questions.

As a disclaimer, this website and it's contents are for infotainment purposes only, and I will not be held liable for any mistakes or bad advice given. I am not your personal accountant and do not know of your specific financial situation or any details which may alter the advice given. If you require detailed and specific tax information, please seek a professional tax advisor. I'm just trying to help, but I'm not getting paid for this so don't expect too much.

Well Here It Is

This is my first real post. As I said on the main page, this is Ask Doctor Biobrain, your source for interesting answers to interesting questions. I will handle all questions pertaining to politics, philosophy, religion, or any other field that I find interesting. And by "interesting", I mean anything where there is no definite "answer" and you can't find it easily on the internet. I do not do baseball scores, trivia, television shows, or mind reading; and I cannot tell you where your lost keys are. (did you check the window sill?)

And as a disclaimer, all of my answers will be from an agnostic liberal Americans point of view, so the answers given may not apply to you. If you are Buddhist and want the meaning of life, my answer will likely fall short of your expectation and you might need to meet me at least halfway. I am well versed in many different religions (including Orthodox Typtcha), and would be happy to discuss the specific details of your beliefs. But in the end, my final answer will not agree with your unless you renounce all ability to know, understand, or comprehend any and all supreme beings.

Also, I will gladly engage in a full-on heated debate with anyone, as long as it is done so with the full understanding that in the end, I am right. I don't even mind petty insults and personal attacks, as long as they are part of a fuller dialogue and not the end of it. There will also be an understanding that grammar police are frowned upon, with a strong emphasis placed on comprehension. Basically, if it sounds good, go with it.

Finally, I would like to point out that I have a wry and often stupid sense of humor, and if you think I'm joking then I probably am. I hope you enjoy this site, find it interesting, learn something, and send me lots of money so I can quit my day job. Thank you.